Famous STR Markets Where the Bonus Depreciation Math Doesn't Pencil — DepreciMax 2026 Study
Technical Publication · 2026 Edition

Famous Short-Term Rental Markets Where the Bonus Depreciation Math Doesn't Pencil

Prepared by the DepreciMax Research Team · Snapshot 2026-07-18 · Methodology version 1.1
Prospecting-grade estimates. Not tax advice, not confirmed cost segregation studies. DepreciMax is a software tool, not a CPA firm. A market appearing in this document does not mean it is a bad investment — it means the federal §168(k) bonus depreciation math, as estimated by the DepreciMax Study, does not clear the Bronze medal threshold. Revenue, appreciation, cap rate, personal-use value, and lifestyle fit are entirely separate considerations.

The DepreciMax STR Bonus Depreciation Market Study tracks 197 US short-term rental markets. Fifty clear the Bronze medal threshold and are ranked in the Top 50 leaderboard. The remaining 147 do not. This document lists all 147, sorted by median bonus-eligible percentage of purchase price, ascending — the weakest first. For each market it documents land value ratio, state §168(k) conformity status, and the primary reason the tax math fails.

Why some famous STR markets fail DepreciMax's bonus depreciation thresholds

Two variables dominate short-term rental bonus depreciation outcomes: the land value ratio (the higher the land component of a property's purchase price, the smaller the depreciable structure base) and the state §168(k) conformity status (whether the state permits the federal deduction to flow through to the state return). When one variable works against a market, the tax math often still pencils. When both work against a market, it very rarely does.

The 147 markets in this document fail to clear even the Bronze threshold (median bonus-eligible ≥ 18%). They are not investment-hostile markets in any general sense — many are among the strongest STR revenue markets in the country. They are markets where the specific slice of the return called federal §168(k) Year-1 bonus depreciation does not carry the offer.

The three failure modes

Every market in the appendix is classified into one of these failure categories. The classification reflects the dominant reason the market misses the Bronze threshold; some markets fail on multiple dimensions simultaneously.

Very high land ratio
61 markets
Land component ≥ 45% of purchase price. Structure base is small enough that even a favorable amenity mix and full state conformity cannot bring the depreciation percentage up to the Bronze threshold.
High land ratio
56 markets
Land component 30–44% of purchase price. Enough of the purchase price is non-depreciable land that the median property falls just short of the Bronze threshold. Full-conformity states may still see individual outlier properties clear it.
Land ratio + decoupled
17 markets
High land ratio combined with a decoupled state. The federal deduction is available on an intact structure base; the state deduction is not. Both dimensions work against the tax outcome simultaneously.
Structure / amenity mix
11 markets
Land ratio is moderate but the typical structure and amenity mix in the market does not classify enough of the purchase price as 5-year or 15-year property. Often older housing stock, thin outdoor amenity density, or condo-heavy markets with limited depreciable common area.
Decoupled (land moderate)
1 market
Decoupled state where the land ratio is moderate. In this edition of the Study, only one market fits this pattern cleanly — most decoupled-state markets also carry high land ratios.
Reading the pattern Across all 147 markets, 117 — approximately 80% — fail primarily because of land value. Structure and amenity mix matters, but land ratio dominates. For an STR investor optimizing tax outcome, the single strongest signal at the market level is land ratio; the second is state conformity. Property-specific amenity mix matters only after those two conditions favor the market.

Full appendix — all 147 markets that did not make the cut

Sorted by median bonus-eligible percentage of purchase price, ascending. All 147 markets tracked in the DepreciMax Study but excluded from the Top 50 leaderboard for the 2026 edition. Each row includes the median bonus-eligible percentage, median land value ratio, state §168(k) conformity classification, and primary failure mode.

136 STR markets that did not clear the Bronze medal threshold · Snapshot 2026-07-18
Market Median
bonus %
Median
land ratio
Conformity Primary failure mode
Hermosa Beach, CA8.1%73%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Santa Monica, CA8.3%73%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Stone Harbor / Avalon, NJ8.4%72%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Manhattan Beach, CA8.4%72%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Newport Beach, CA9.3%70%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Laguna Beach, CA9.3%69%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Carmel-by-the-Sea, CA9.6%68%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Venice, CA9.8%69%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Silver Lake / Los Feliz, CA9.9%67%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Hollywood, CA10.4%66%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Ocean City, NJ10.5%65%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Block Island, RI10.5%65%FullVery high land ratio
Huntington Beach, CA10.5%66%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Nantucket, MA10.6%67%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Monterey, CA10.8%64%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Anna Maria Island, FL11.2%64%FullVery high land ratio
Bethany Beach, DE11.4%62%FullVery high land ratio
Ogunquit, ME12.0%60%FullVery high land ratio
Manhattan (West Village), NY12.0%60%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Fort Myers Beach, FL12.3%59%FullVery high land ratio
Martha's Vineyard, MA12.5%61%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Siesta Key, FL12.9%57%FullVery high land ratio
Sanibel Island, FL12.9%57%FullVery high land ratio
Malibu, CA12.9%57%DecoupledVery high land ratio
South Beach, FL13.0%58%FullVery high land ratio
San Diego, CA13.1%59%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Brooklyn, NY13.3%57%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Miami, FL13.5%57%FullVery high land ratio
Newport, RI13.7%55%FullVery high land ratio
Rehoboth Beach, DE13.8%54%FullVery high land ratio
St. Pete Beach, FL13.9%55%FullVery high land ratio
Aspen / Snowmass, CO14.1%54%FullVery high land ratio
Wildwood, NJ14.1%53%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Sarasota / Siesta Key, FL14.4%54%FullVery high land ratio
Pismo Beach, CA14.4%52%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Cannon Beach, OR14.4%52%FullVery high land ratio
Waterville Valley, NH14.4%52%FullVery high land ratio
Coconut Grove, FL14.6%52%FullVery high land ratio
Fire Island, NY14.7%51%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Kennebunkport, ME14.7%51%FullVery high land ratio
Santa Barbara, CA14.9%52%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Jackson Hole, WY15.0%50%FullVery high land ratio
Captiva Island, FL15.0%50%FullVery high land ratio
Isle of Palms, SC15.0%50%FullVery high land ratio
Folly Beach, SC15.6%48%FullVery high land ratio
Atlantic Beach (Crystal Coast), NC15.6%48%DecoupledVery high land ratio
The Hamptons, NY15.9%49%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Carlsbad / Oceanside, CA15.9%49%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Naples, FL16.2%50%FullVery high land ratio
Cape Cod, MA16.2%50%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Emerald Isle, NC16.2%46%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Montauk, NY16.5%45%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Virginia Beach, VA16.9%48%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Lake Winnipesaukee, NH16.9%49%FullVery high land ratio
Austin, TX17.1%48%FullVery high land ratio
Hood River, OR17.1%43%FullHigh land ratio
Tybee Island, GA17.1%43%FullHigh land ratio
Ocean City, MD17.3%47%FullVery high land ratio
Key West, FL17.4%42%FullHigh land ratio
Jackson, NH17.4%42%FullHigh land ratio
Clearwater Beach, FL17.5%48%FullVery high land ratio
Bar Harbor, ME17.6%45%FullVery high land ratio
Maui, HI17.7%42%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Jekyll Island, GA17.7%41%FullHigh land ratio
Cape May, NJ17.9%45%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Smith Mountain Lake, VA17.9%41%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Wynwood, FL17.9%45%FullVery high land ratio
Long Beach Island, NJ17.9%50%DecoupledVery high land ratio
Napa Valley, CA17.9%41%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Lake Placid, NY18.0%40%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Leavenworth, WA18.0%40%FullHigh land ratio
Ludlow / Okemo Valley, VT18.0%40%FullHigh land ratio
Incline Village, NV18.0%42%FullHigh land ratio
Chincoteague, VA18.0%40%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Marco Island, FL18.3%39%FullHigh land ratio
Edisto Beach, SC18.3%39%FullHigh land ratio
Oak Island, NC18.3%39%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Charleston, SC18.5%42%FullHigh land ratio
Nashville, TN18.8%41%FullHigh land ratio
Port Aransas, TX18.9%37%FullHigh land ratio
Holden Beach, NC18.9%37%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Destin, FL19.1%38%FullHigh land ratio
30A / South Walton, FL19.1%37%FullHigh land ratio
South Padre Island, TX19.2%36%FullHigh land ratio
Sisters, OR19.2%36%FullHigh land ratio
Crested Butte, CO19.5%36%FullHigh land ratio
Gulf Shores, AL19.5%36%FullHigh land ratio
Lincoln City, OR19.5%35%FullHigh land ratio
Springdale / Zion, UT19.5%35%FullHigh land ratio
St. Simons Island, GA19.5%35%FullHigh land ratio
Islamorada, FL19.6%36%FullHigh land ratio
Sebago Lake, ME19.7%35%FullHigh land ratio
Steamboat Springs, CO19.8%34%FullHigh land ratio
Mammoth Lakes, CA19.8%34%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Copper Mountain, CO19.8%34%FullHigh land ratio
Lake Chelan, WA19.8%34%FullHigh land ratio
Ocean Isle Beach, NC19.8%34%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Missoula, MT19.9%35%FullHigh land ratio
St. Augustine, FL20.0%36%FullHigh land ratio
North Lake Tahoe, CA20.1%35%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Sun Valley / Ketchum, ID20.2%35%FullHigh land ratio
Lake Hartwell, GA20.3%35%FullHigh land ratio
Amelia Island, FL20.4%32%FullHigh land ratio
Outer Banks, NC20.5%36%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Phoenix, AZ20.5%35%FullHigh land ratio
Lake George, NY20.6%32%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Wilmington / Wrightsville, NC20.6%40%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Breckenridge, CO20.7%32%FullHigh land ratio
Beaver Creek, CO20.7%31%FullHigh land ratio
Bend, OR20.7%33%FullHigh land ratio
Lincoln / Loon, NH20.7%31%FullHigh land ratio
Gardiner, MT20.7%31%FullHigh land ratio
Kiawah Island, SC20.7%31%FullHigh land ratio
Sedona, AZ20.9%31%FullHigh land ratio
New Orleans, LA20.9%32%FullHigh land ratio
Whitefish, MT21.0%30%FullHigh land ratio
South Lake Tahoe, CA21.0%30%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Keystone, CO21.0%30%FullHigh land ratio
Estes Park, CO21.0%30%FullHigh land ratio
Ouray, CO21.0%30%FullHigh land ratio
Sugarbush / Mad River, VT21.0%30%FullHigh land ratio
North Conway, NH21.0%30%FullHigh land ratio
Shaver Lake, CA21.0%30%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Lake Geneva, WI21.1%31%PartialHigh land ratio
Durango, CO21.1%31%FullHigh land ratio
Park City, UT21.2%35%FullHigh land ratio
Sunriver, OR21.3%29%FullStructure / amenity mix
Mt. Hood, OR21.3%29%FullStructure / amenity mix
Lake Norman, NC21.3%31%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
New Smyrna Beach, FL21.3%36%FullHigh land ratio
Daytona Beach, FL21.5%31%FullHigh land ratio
Vail, CO21.5%35%FullHigh land ratio
Panama City Beach, FL21.5%31%FullHigh land ratio
Hilton Head, SC21.5%31%FullHigh land ratio
Deep Creek Lake, MD21.5%29%FullStructure / amenity mix
Telluride, CO21.6%28%FullStructure / amenity mix
Scottsdale, AZ21.6%31%FullHigh land ratio
Winthrop / Methow, WA21.6%28%FullStructure / amenity mix
Big Bear Lake, CA21.7%30%DecoupledLand ratio + decoupled
Stowe, VT21.8%29%FullStructure / amenity mix
St. George, UT21.8%28%FullStructure / amenity mix
Flathead Lake, MT21.8%29%FullStructure / amenity mix
Manchester, VT21.9%27%FullStructure / amenity mix
Lake Arrowhead, CA21.9%27%DecoupledDecoupled state
Silverthorne, CO22.2%26%FullStructure / amenity mix
Lake Havasu City, AZ22.2%26%FullStructure / amenity mix

How to interpret "did not make the cut" when making offers

A market appearing in this list is not a warning against buying there. It is a warning against relying on federal §168(k) bonus depreciation as a primary offer-price justification in that market. The distinction matters because bonus depreciation is often invoked in negotiation discussions where it is not, in that specific market, doing the work being claimed.

Three practical uses of this list:

  1. Filter your shortlist. Markets in this document are not viable Diamond / Gold / Silver / Bronze candidates for the median property. Individual outlier properties may still clear the thresholds — verify at the property level rather than assuming market-level yield.
  2. Frame the CPA conversation. If you are already invested in a market on this list, this document explains, honestly, what the tax math is doing — and what it is not. A CPA can use this framing to right-size expectations for the return the client actually filed.
  3. Recalibrate market comparison. Investors comparing STR markets by revenue often assume tax outcome scales similarly. This document is the counterexample. Two markets with identical STR revenue can produce very different after-tax returns because of the tax math documented here.
On calibration and honesty This document is included in the Study specifically because it is uncomfortable. It would be easier to publish only the Top 50 leaderboard and be silent about the markets that failed. The reason to publish it anyway is that the value of a research-grade estimate depends on being wrong when the data says it should be wrong. If Aspen and Malibu quietly rose to the top of a marketing-friendly ranking, no informed reader would trust any other ranking on the same page.

Detailed methodology, data sources, per-listing estimation approach, and calibration procedure are documented in the Study methodology. The weighted national distribution and medal threshold provenance are documented in the National Curve publication.

To evaluate a specific property's bonus depreciation potential — including individual properties in markets on this list — run a DepreciMax property report. Individual outlier properties can and do clear the Bronze threshold even in markets whose median falls short.
METHODOLOGY VERSION 1.1 · SNAPSHOT 2026-07-18 · ANNUAL REFRESH CADENCE · © 2026 DEPRECIMAX RESEARCH TEAM