Famous Short-Term Rental Markets Where the Bonus Depreciation Math Doesn't Pencil
The DepreciMax STR Bonus Depreciation Market Study tracks 197 US short-term rental markets. Fifty clear the Bronze medal threshold and are ranked in the Top 50 leaderboard. The remaining 147 do not. This document lists all 147, sorted by median bonus-eligible percentage of purchase price, ascending — the weakest first. For each market it documents land value ratio, state §168(k) conformity status, and the primary reason the tax math fails.
Why some famous STR markets fail DepreciMax's bonus depreciation thresholds
Two variables dominate short-term rental bonus depreciation outcomes: the land value ratio (the higher the land component of a property's purchase price, the smaller the depreciable structure base) and the state §168(k) conformity status (whether the state permits the federal deduction to flow through to the state return). When one variable works against a market, the tax math often still pencils. When both work against a market, it very rarely does.
The 147 markets in this document fail to clear even the Bronze threshold (median bonus-eligible ≥ 18%). They are not investment-hostile markets in any general sense — many are among the strongest STR revenue markets in the country. They are markets where the specific slice of the return called federal §168(k) Year-1 bonus depreciation does not carry the offer.
The three failure modes
Every market in the appendix is classified into one of these failure categories. The classification reflects the dominant reason the market misses the Bronze threshold; some markets fail on multiple dimensions simultaneously.
Full appendix — all 147 markets that did not make the cut
Sorted by median bonus-eligible percentage of purchase price, ascending. All 147 markets tracked in the DepreciMax Study but excluded from the Top 50 leaderboard for the 2026 edition. Each row includes the median bonus-eligible percentage, median land value ratio, state §168(k) conformity classification, and primary failure mode.
| Market | Median bonus % |
Median land ratio |
Conformity | Primary failure mode |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hermosa Beach, CA | 8.1% | 73% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Santa Monica, CA | 8.3% | 73% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Stone Harbor / Avalon, NJ | 8.4% | 72% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Manhattan Beach, CA | 8.4% | 72% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Newport Beach, CA | 9.3% | 70% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Laguna Beach, CA | 9.3% | 69% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Carmel-by-the-Sea, CA | 9.6% | 68% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Venice, CA | 9.8% | 69% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Silver Lake / Los Feliz, CA | 9.9% | 67% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Hollywood, CA | 10.4% | 66% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Ocean City, NJ | 10.5% | 65% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Block Island, RI | 10.5% | 65% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Huntington Beach, CA | 10.5% | 66% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Nantucket, MA | 10.6% | 67% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Monterey, CA | 10.8% | 64% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Anna Maria Island, FL | 11.2% | 64% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Bethany Beach, DE | 11.4% | 62% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Ogunquit, ME | 12.0% | 60% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Manhattan (West Village), NY | 12.0% | 60% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Fort Myers Beach, FL | 12.3% | 59% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Martha's Vineyard, MA | 12.5% | 61% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Siesta Key, FL | 12.9% | 57% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Sanibel Island, FL | 12.9% | 57% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Malibu, CA | 12.9% | 57% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| South Beach, FL | 13.0% | 58% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| San Diego, CA | 13.1% | 59% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Brooklyn, NY | 13.3% | 57% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Miami, FL | 13.5% | 57% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Newport, RI | 13.7% | 55% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Rehoboth Beach, DE | 13.8% | 54% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| St. Pete Beach, FL | 13.9% | 55% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Aspen / Snowmass, CO | 14.1% | 54% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Wildwood, NJ | 14.1% | 53% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Sarasota / Siesta Key, FL | 14.4% | 54% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Pismo Beach, CA | 14.4% | 52% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Cannon Beach, OR | 14.4% | 52% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Waterville Valley, NH | 14.4% | 52% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Coconut Grove, FL | 14.6% | 52% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Fire Island, NY | 14.7% | 51% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Kennebunkport, ME | 14.7% | 51% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Santa Barbara, CA | 14.9% | 52% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Jackson Hole, WY | 15.0% | 50% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Captiva Island, FL | 15.0% | 50% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Isle of Palms, SC | 15.0% | 50% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Folly Beach, SC | 15.6% | 48% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Atlantic Beach (Crystal Coast), NC | 15.6% | 48% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| The Hamptons, NY | 15.9% | 49% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Carlsbad / Oceanside, CA | 15.9% | 49% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Naples, FL | 16.2% | 50% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Cape Cod, MA | 16.2% | 50% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Emerald Isle, NC | 16.2% | 46% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Montauk, NY | 16.5% | 45% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Virginia Beach, VA | 16.9% | 48% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Lake Winnipesaukee, NH | 16.9% | 49% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Austin, TX | 17.1% | 48% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Hood River, OR | 17.1% | 43% | Full | High land ratio |
| Tybee Island, GA | 17.1% | 43% | Full | High land ratio |
| Ocean City, MD | 17.3% | 47% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Key West, FL | 17.4% | 42% | Full | High land ratio |
| Jackson, NH | 17.4% | 42% | Full | High land ratio |
| Clearwater Beach, FL | 17.5% | 48% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Bar Harbor, ME | 17.6% | 45% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Maui, HI | 17.7% | 42% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Jekyll Island, GA | 17.7% | 41% | Full | High land ratio |
| Cape May, NJ | 17.9% | 45% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Smith Mountain Lake, VA | 17.9% | 41% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Wynwood, FL | 17.9% | 45% | Full | Very high land ratio |
| Long Beach Island, NJ | 17.9% | 50% | Decoupled | Very high land ratio |
| Napa Valley, CA | 17.9% | 41% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Lake Placid, NY | 18.0% | 40% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Leavenworth, WA | 18.0% | 40% | Full | High land ratio |
| Ludlow / Okemo Valley, VT | 18.0% | 40% | Full | High land ratio |
| Incline Village, NV | 18.0% | 42% | Full | High land ratio |
| Chincoteague, VA | 18.0% | 40% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Marco Island, FL | 18.3% | 39% | Full | High land ratio |
| Edisto Beach, SC | 18.3% | 39% | Full | High land ratio |
| Oak Island, NC | 18.3% | 39% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Charleston, SC | 18.5% | 42% | Full | High land ratio |
| Nashville, TN | 18.8% | 41% | Full | High land ratio |
| Port Aransas, TX | 18.9% | 37% | Full | High land ratio |
| Holden Beach, NC | 18.9% | 37% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Destin, FL | 19.1% | 38% | Full | High land ratio |
| 30A / South Walton, FL | 19.1% | 37% | Full | High land ratio |
| South Padre Island, TX | 19.2% | 36% | Full | High land ratio |
| Sisters, OR | 19.2% | 36% | Full | High land ratio |
| Crested Butte, CO | 19.5% | 36% | Full | High land ratio |
| Gulf Shores, AL | 19.5% | 36% | Full | High land ratio |
| Lincoln City, OR | 19.5% | 35% | Full | High land ratio |
| Springdale / Zion, UT | 19.5% | 35% | Full | High land ratio |
| St. Simons Island, GA | 19.5% | 35% | Full | High land ratio |
| Islamorada, FL | 19.6% | 36% | Full | High land ratio |
| Sebago Lake, ME | 19.7% | 35% | Full | High land ratio |
| Steamboat Springs, CO | 19.8% | 34% | Full | High land ratio |
| Mammoth Lakes, CA | 19.8% | 34% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Copper Mountain, CO | 19.8% | 34% | Full | High land ratio |
| Lake Chelan, WA | 19.8% | 34% | Full | High land ratio |
| Ocean Isle Beach, NC | 19.8% | 34% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Missoula, MT | 19.9% | 35% | Full | High land ratio |
| St. Augustine, FL | 20.0% | 36% | Full | High land ratio |
| North Lake Tahoe, CA | 20.1% | 35% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Sun Valley / Ketchum, ID | 20.2% | 35% | Full | High land ratio |
| Lake Hartwell, GA | 20.3% | 35% | Full | High land ratio |
| Amelia Island, FL | 20.4% | 32% | Full | High land ratio |
| Outer Banks, NC | 20.5% | 36% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Phoenix, AZ | 20.5% | 35% | Full | High land ratio |
| Lake George, NY | 20.6% | 32% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Wilmington / Wrightsville, NC | 20.6% | 40% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Breckenridge, CO | 20.7% | 32% | Full | High land ratio |
| Beaver Creek, CO | 20.7% | 31% | Full | High land ratio |
| Bend, OR | 20.7% | 33% | Full | High land ratio |
| Lincoln / Loon, NH | 20.7% | 31% | Full | High land ratio |
| Gardiner, MT | 20.7% | 31% | Full | High land ratio |
| Kiawah Island, SC | 20.7% | 31% | Full | High land ratio |
| Sedona, AZ | 20.9% | 31% | Full | High land ratio |
| New Orleans, LA | 20.9% | 32% | Full | High land ratio |
| Whitefish, MT | 21.0% | 30% | Full | High land ratio |
| South Lake Tahoe, CA | 21.0% | 30% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Keystone, CO | 21.0% | 30% | Full | High land ratio |
| Estes Park, CO | 21.0% | 30% | Full | High land ratio |
| Ouray, CO | 21.0% | 30% | Full | High land ratio |
| Sugarbush / Mad River, VT | 21.0% | 30% | Full | High land ratio |
| North Conway, NH | 21.0% | 30% | Full | High land ratio |
| Shaver Lake, CA | 21.0% | 30% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Lake Geneva, WI | 21.1% | 31% | Partial | High land ratio |
| Durango, CO | 21.1% | 31% | Full | High land ratio |
| Park City, UT | 21.2% | 35% | Full | High land ratio |
| Sunriver, OR | 21.3% | 29% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
| Mt. Hood, OR | 21.3% | 29% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
| Lake Norman, NC | 21.3% | 31% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| New Smyrna Beach, FL | 21.3% | 36% | Full | High land ratio |
| Daytona Beach, FL | 21.5% | 31% | Full | High land ratio |
| Vail, CO | 21.5% | 35% | Full | High land ratio |
| Panama City Beach, FL | 21.5% | 31% | Full | High land ratio |
| Hilton Head, SC | 21.5% | 31% | Full | High land ratio |
| Deep Creek Lake, MD | 21.5% | 29% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
| Telluride, CO | 21.6% | 28% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
| Scottsdale, AZ | 21.6% | 31% | Full | High land ratio |
| Winthrop / Methow, WA | 21.6% | 28% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
| Big Bear Lake, CA | 21.7% | 30% | Decoupled | Land ratio + decoupled |
| Stowe, VT | 21.8% | 29% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
| St. George, UT | 21.8% | 28% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
| Flathead Lake, MT | 21.8% | 29% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
| Manchester, VT | 21.9% | 27% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
| Lake Arrowhead, CA | 21.9% | 27% | Decoupled | Decoupled state |
| Silverthorne, CO | 22.2% | 26% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
| Lake Havasu City, AZ | 22.2% | 26% | Full | Structure / amenity mix |
How to interpret "did not make the cut" when making offers
A market appearing in this list is not a warning against buying there. It is a warning against relying on federal §168(k) bonus depreciation as a primary offer-price justification in that market. The distinction matters because bonus depreciation is often invoked in negotiation discussions where it is not, in that specific market, doing the work being claimed.
Three practical uses of this list:
- Filter your shortlist. Markets in this document are not viable Diamond / Gold / Silver / Bronze candidates for the median property. Individual outlier properties may still clear the thresholds — verify at the property level rather than assuming market-level yield.
- Frame the CPA conversation. If you are already invested in a market on this list, this document explains, honestly, what the tax math is doing — and what it is not. A CPA can use this framing to right-size expectations for the return the client actually filed.
- Recalibrate market comparison. Investors comparing STR markets by revenue often assume tax outcome scales similarly. This document is the counterexample. Two markets with identical STR revenue can produce very different after-tax returns because of the tax math documented here.
Detailed methodology, data sources, per-listing estimation approach, and calibration procedure are documented in the Study methodology. The weighted national distribution and medal threshold provenance are documented in the National Curve publication.